Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 65%, against 27% for a draw and 8% for Basake Holy Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars?
Hearts of Oak starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Basake Holy Stars have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hearts of Oak win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Basake Holy Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 1-2 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Basake Holy Stars sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 65%, against 27% for a draw and 8% for Basake Holy Stars.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.