Match

Karela vs Port City: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

KarelaPort City

The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Port City. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Port City?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Port City (1,548).

Karela win56 %
Draw28 %
Port City win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Port City have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League
Port City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 11, 2026Tobacco Road(away)3-2USL League Two
Jul 8, 2026Wake(away)1-3USL League Two
Jul 1, 2026North Carolina Fusion(home)1-2USL League Two
Jun 27, 2026Appalachian(home)0-3USL League Two
Jun 23, 2026SC United Bantams(home)1-2USL League Two

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Port City score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karela0.90.983/154/15
Port City1.02.3011/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Karela34131011323349

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Port City?
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Port City.
Where and when is Karela vs Port City played?
Karela vs Port City is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karela and Port City

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