Where and when is Medeama vs Aduana Stars played?

Medeama vs Aduana Stars is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Medeama vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa

Medeama

Aduana Stars

The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Medeama vs Aduana Stars?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Medeama (1,661) and Aduana Stars (1,574).

Medeama win65 %

Draw24 %

Aduana Stars win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Medeama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	ASEC Mimosas(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SOA(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	2-4	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Heart of Lions(home)	5-2	Premier League

Aduana Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 18, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Vision(away)	0-3	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Young Apostles(home)	3-1	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	0-0	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(away)	0-2	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Medeama win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aduana Stars win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Medeama 1-1 Aduana Stars	Premier League
Nov 8, 2025	Aduana Stars 0-0 Medeama	Premier League
Mar 23, 2025	Medeama 2-0 Aduana Stars	Premier League
Oct 28, 2024	Aduana Stars 2-2 Medeama	Premier League
Mar 21, 2024	Medeama 2-0 Aduana Stars	Premier League
Sep 24, 2023	Aduana Stars 2-0 Medeama	Premier League

Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Aduana Stars on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Medeama	2.0	1.3	5	10/15	11/15
Aduana Stars	0.7	0.8	7	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (62 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama	34	17	11	6	52	28	62
6	Aduana Stars	34	13	11	10	29	24	50

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Aduana Stars?: The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Aduana Stars.
Where and when is Medeama vs Aduana Stars played?: Medeama vs Aduana Stars is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.