Hearts of Oak vs Port City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Port City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Port City?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Port City (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Port City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tobacco Road(away) | 3-2 | USL League Two |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wake(away) | 1-3 | USL League Two |
| Jul 1, 2026 | North Carolina Fusion(home) | 1-2 | USL League Two |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Appalachian(home) | 0-3 | USL League Two |
| Jun 23, 2026 | SC United Bantams(home) | 1-2 | USL League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Port City score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Port City | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Port City?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Port City.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Port City played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Port City is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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