Medeama vs Heart of Lions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa
The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Heart of Lions. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Medeama vs Heart of Lions?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Medeama (1,661) and Heart of Lions (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Heart of Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Medeama win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Heart of Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama 5-2 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Heart of Lions 0-1 Medeama | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Heart of Lions 1-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Medeama 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Medeama 0-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Heart of Lions 2-2 Medeama | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Heart of Lions on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (62 points from 34 matches) and Heart of Lions sit 14th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Heart of Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Heart of Lions.
- Where and when is Medeama vs Heart of Lions played?
- Medeama vs Heart of Lions is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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