Match

Karela vs Dreams: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

KarelaDreams

The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Dreams. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Dreams?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Dreams (1,663).

Karela win41 %
Draw30 %
Dreams win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dreams have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League
Dreams
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Nations(home)1-1Cup
May 24, 2026Basake Holy Stars(away)4-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Bibiani Gold Stars(home)3-1Premier League
May 10, 2026Berekum Chelsea(away)0-1Premier League
May 6, 2026Bechem United(away)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karela win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dreams win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Dreams 0-1 KarelaPremier League
Nov 9, 2025Karela 1-1 DreamsPremier League
Apr 27, 2025Karela 1-2 DreamsPremier League
Nov 24, 2024Dreams 0-1 KarelaPremier League
Jun 2, 2024Dreams 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Jan 17, 2024Karela 0-0 DreamsPremier League

Last archived meeting: Dreams vs Karela on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dreams score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karela0.90.983/154/15
Dreams1.90.849/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Dreams sit 4th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Dreams3415712493252
9Karela34131011323349

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Dreams?
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Dreams.
Where and when is Karela vs Dreams played?
Karela vs Dreams is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karela and Dreams

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