HEBC vs Tus Dassendorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for HEBC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HEBC vs Tus Dassendorf?
Tus Dassendorf is a heavy favourite: 2,058 Elo points against 1,758 — a 301-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tus Dassendorf have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 HEBC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Tus Dassendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf 2-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 16, 2025 | HEBC 0-0 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 3-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 3, 2024 | HEBC 1-1 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 7, 2024 | HEBC 0-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Tus Dassendorf 2-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Tus Dassendorf vs HEBC on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HEBC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HEBC sit 13th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd (76 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Tus Dassendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for HEBC.
- Where and when is HEBC vs Tus Dassendorf played?
- HEBC vs Tus Dassendorf is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.