Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Teutonia Ottensen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Teutonia Ottensen (1,733) and Sasel (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teutonia Ottensen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sasel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Teutonia Ottensen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sasel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Teutonia Ottensen 4-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Sasel 3-1 Teutonia Ottensen | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Sasel 1-3 Teutonia Ottensen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Teutonia Ottensen 4-1 Sasel | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Teutonia Ottensen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teutonia Ottensen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teutonia Ottensen sit 7th in Oberliga - Hamburg (52 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 66 | 52 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel?
- The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Teutonia Ottensen.
- Where and when is Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel played?
- Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.