Buchholz vs Victoria Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, Buchholz in der Nordheide
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchholz vs Victoria Hamburg?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Buchholz (1,785) and Victoria Hamburg (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchholz have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Victoria Hamburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buchholz win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Victoria Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 2-0 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Buchholz 1-3 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 3-4 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Buchholz 1-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 0-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Buchholz 2-1 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Hamburg vs Buchholz on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchholz sit 12th in Oberliga - Hamburg (44 points from 34 matches) and Victoria Hamburg sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchholz vs Victoria Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Buchholz vs Victoria Hamburg played?
- Buchholz vs Victoria Hamburg is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.