Heerenveen vs Excelsior: result 2-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Full time
What was the result of Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
Heerenveen won 2-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′I. YegoianExcelsior
- 89′D. VenteHeerenveen (pen.)
- 90′S. KerstenHeerenveen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Excelsior have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Utrecht(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Twente(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Utrecht(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heerenveen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | Excelsior 3-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| May 13, 2023 | Heerenveen 0-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Excelsior 0-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Heerenveen 3-1 Excelsior | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Excelsior 0-3 Heerenveen | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs Heerenveen on Jan 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 7th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heerenveen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy