Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Hegelmann Litauen. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Kauno Žalgiris starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hegelmann Litauen have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hegelmann Litauen win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kauno Žalgiris win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 5-0 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hegelmann Litauen score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hegelmann Litauen sit 7th in A Lyga (23 points from 25 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kauno Žalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris?
- The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Hegelmann Litauen.
- Where and when is Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.