Suduva Marijampole vs Banga: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, Marijampolė
The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Banga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Banga?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Suduva Marijampole (1,778) and Banga (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suduva Marijampole have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Banga have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Suduva Marijampole win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Banga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga 0-3 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 0-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Banga 2-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Banga 0-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Suduva Marijampole 2-1 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 11, 2025 | Banga 0-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Banga vs Suduva Marijampole on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suduva Marijampole score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Suduva Marijampole sit 1st in A Lyga (42 points from 23 matches) and Banga sit 4th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Banga | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suduva Marijampole vs Banga?
- The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Banga.
- Where and when is Suduva Marijampole vs Banga played?
- Suduva Marijampole vs Banga is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.