Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
Holstein Kiel II starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Holstein Kiel II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heider SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Holstein Kiel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II 5-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II 2-0 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Heider SV 1-6 Holstein Kiel II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Holstein Kiel II 2-1 Heider SV | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Holstein Kiel II 3-0 Heider SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Heider SV 2-1 Holstein Kiel II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel II vs Heider SV on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel II score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Holstein Kiel II | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and Holstein Kiel II sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holstein Kiel II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel II the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II played?
- Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.