Kilia Kiel vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for VfR Neumünster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs VfR Neumünster?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Kilia Kiel (1,927) and VfR Neumünster (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Kilia Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfR Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster 1-1 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 3-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 6, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 2-1 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 3, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 1-4 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Kilia Kiel 2-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfR Neumünster vs Kilia Kiel on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and VfR Neumünster sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for VfR Neumünster.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs VfR Neumünster played?
- Kilia Kiel vs VfR Neumünster is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.