Eckernförder SV vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadtwerke Arena, Eckernförde
The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eckernförder SV vs Nordmark Satrup?
Nordmark Satrup starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eckernförder SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Eckernförder SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup 2-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 2-2 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 3-3 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 1-2 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 4-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs Eckernförder SV on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eckernförder SV sit 14th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (3 points from 5 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eckernförder SV vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes Nordmark Satrup the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Eckernförder SV vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- Eckernförder SV vs Nordmark Satrup is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadtwerke Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.