Heist vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, Heist-Op-Den-Berg
The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heist wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heist vs Merelbeke?
On Elo ratings, Heist has 1,932 points and Merelbeke 1,836.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heist vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heist
Not enough data to predict the Heist lineup.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heist have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Merelbeke have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Heist wins, 0 draws, 2 Merelbeke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Heist 1-2 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Merelbeke 3-0 Heist | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Heist score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heist | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Heist vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heist vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Heist vs Merelbeke played?
- Heist vs Merelbeke is played on April 24, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.