Heist vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, Heist-Op-Den-Berg
The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heist vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Heist (1,915) and Thes Sport (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heist have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berchem Sport(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heist win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Heist 0-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Thes Sport 1-2 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Heist 4-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Heist 1-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Thes Sport 3-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Heist score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heist | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heist vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Heist vs Thes Sport played?
- Heist vs Thes Sport is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.