Hoogstraten vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Seminarie, Hoogstraten
The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogstraten vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Hoogstraten (1,876) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogstraten have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hoogstraten win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2-0 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hoogstraten 2-2 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hoogstraten 1-2 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Hoogstraten 1-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1-0 Hoogstraten | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Hoogstraten on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogstraten score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogstraten | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogstraten sit 6th in First Amateur Division (18 points from 11 matches) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 6 | Hoogstraten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogstraten vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar.
- Where and when is Hoogstraten vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar played?
- Hoogstraten vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Seminarie, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.