Houtvenne vs Dessel Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Houtvenne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Dessel Sport?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,817) and Dessel Sport (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dessel Sport have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Houtvenne win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dessel Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Dessel Sport 3-2 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Houtvenne 3-2 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Dessel Sport vs Houtvenne on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Dessel Sport sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Dessel Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Houtvenne.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Dessel Sport played?
- Houtvenne vs Dessel Sport is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.