Helges vs Gute: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 23Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gute the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Helges. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helges vs Gute?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Helges (1,301) and Gute (1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helges have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Gute have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Falu BS(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skiljebo(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bollstanäs(home) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korsnäs(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Sunnersta(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korsnäs(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bollstanäs(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angby(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kungsängen(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Helges win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gute win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Gute 1-0 Helges | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Helges score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gute score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helges | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Gute | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helges sit 14th in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (5 points from 12 matches) and Gute sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gute | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Gute | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 23 |
| 14 | Helges | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 5 |
| 14 | Helges | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 47 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helges vs Gute?
- The Footlab model makes Gute the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Helges.
- Where and when is Helges vs Gute played?
- Helges vs Gute is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.