Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Weserstadion Platz 13, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 70%, against 15% for a draw and 16% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen?
Hemelingen is a heavy favourite: 1,998 Elo points against 1,660 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen III have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hemelingen have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 1-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Werder Bremen III win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Hemelingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Hemelingen 2-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 1-4 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Hemelingen 2-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Werder Bremen III 1-2 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Werder Bremen III 2-6 Hemelingen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Hemelingen 7-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Hemelingen vs Werder Bremen III on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hemelingen score 3.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Hemelingen | 3.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen III sit 16th in Oberliga - Bremen (0 points from 3 matches) and Hemelingen sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hemelingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen?
- The Footlab model makes Hemelingen the favourite at 70%, against 15% for a draw and 16% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen played?
- Werder Bremen III vs Hemelingen is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Weserstadion Platz 13, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.