Hemmingen vs Germania Egestorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hemmingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemmingen vs Germania Egestorf?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Hemmingen (1,709) and Germania Egestorf (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Hemmingen have 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Germania Egestorf have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschw. II(home) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verden 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heeslinger SC(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BW Lohne(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Hemmingen score 1.3 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 3; Germania Egestorf score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemmingen | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
| Germania Egestorf | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemmingen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 3 matches) and Germania Egestorf sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Germania Egestorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Hemmingen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemmingen vs Germania Egestorf?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hemmingen.
- Where and when is Hemmingen vs Germania Egestorf played?
- Hemmingen vs Germania Egestorf is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.