Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)
The Footlab model makes Heeslinger SC the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC?
Heeslinger SC starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Heeslinger SC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meppen II(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschw. II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemmingen(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Verden 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Heeslinger SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Heeslinger SC 1-2 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Verden 04 2-3 Heeslinger SC | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Heeslinger SC 2-3 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Verden 04 1-2 Heeslinger SC | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Heeslinger SC vs Verden 04 on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Heeslinger SC score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Heeslinger SC | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verden 04 sit 8th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (4 points from 3 matches) and Heeslinger SC sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heeslinger SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC?
- The Footlab model makes Heeslinger SC the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC played?
- Verden 04 vs Heeslinger SC is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.