TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Königsdorf, Frechen
The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate TuS BW Königsdorf (1,787) and Hennef 05 (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS BW Königsdorf have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hennef 05 have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hennef 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Hennef 05 1-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Hennef 05 2-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 8, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 2-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Hennef 05 2-0 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05 on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Hennef 05 sit 12th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05?
- The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05 played?
- TuS BW Königsdorf vs Hennef 05 is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Königsdorf, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.