Heracles vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs VVV Venlo?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heracles wins, 0 draws, 3 VVV Venlo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo 3-4 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 10, 2023 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Heracles 5-3 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 1, 2021 | Heracles 4-0 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | VVV Venlo 3-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2020 | VVV Venlo 1-0 Heracles | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
A question about Heracles vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Heracles vs VVV Venlo played?
- Heracles vs VVV Venlo is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.