Heracles vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs VVV Venlo?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; VVV Venlo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heracles win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 VVV Venlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo 3-4 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 10, 2023 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Heracles 5-3 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| May 1, 2021 | Heracles 4-0 VVV Venlo | Eredivisie |
| Nov 7, 2020 | VVV Venlo 3-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2020 | VVV Venlo 1-0 Heracles | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Heracles vs VVV Venlo played?
- Heracles vs VVV Venlo is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.