Helmond Sport vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Emmen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,189 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Emmen?
Emmen starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs Emmen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 20S. Dekkers
- 1M. Bergsen
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 7T. Rhein
- 21A. Hojabrpour
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 25R. Kongolo
- 24L. Everink
- 1S. Karssies
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Emmen have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | MVV(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Helmond Sport win, 1 draw, 4 Emmen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Emmen 4-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Emmen vs Helmond Sport on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (12 points from 14 matches) and Emmen sit 6th (25 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Emmen | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 12 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs Emmen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Emmen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Emmen played?
- Helmond Sport vs Emmen is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.