Helmond Sport vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Emmen?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,582) and Emmen (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Emmen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Helmond Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Emmen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Emmen 4-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Emmen vs Helmond Sport on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (2 points from 3 matches) and Emmen sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Emmen?
- The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Emmen played?
- Helmond Sport vs Emmen is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.