Dordrecht vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs MVV?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,672) and MVV (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; MVV have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dordrecht win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MVV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Dordrecht 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | MVV 0-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | MVV 2-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 4, 2024 | MVV 1-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Dordrecht 2-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| MVV | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and MVV sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MVV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs MVV?
- The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for MVV.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs MVV played?
- Dordrecht vs MVV is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.