Dordrecht vs MVV: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs MVV?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,595) and MVV (1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs MVV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
MVV
4-2-3-1- 9T. Vinogradac
- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; MVV have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dordrecht wins, 2 draws, 1 MVV win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Dordrecht 1-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | MVV 0-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | MVV 2-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 4, 2024 | MVV 1-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Dordrecht 2-2 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; MVV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| MVV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and MVV sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs MVV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs MVV?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for MVV.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs MVV played?
- Dordrecht vs MVV is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.