Hercules vs Purmersteijn: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Purmersteijn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Purmersteijn?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Hercules (1,705) and Purmersteijn (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs Purmersteijn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Purmersteijn
Not enough data to predict the Purmersteijn lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Purmersteijn have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Purmersteijn score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Purmersteijn | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 12th in Derde Divisie (10 points from 9 matches) and Purmersteijn sit 8th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Hercules vs Purmersteijn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Purmersteijn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Purmersteijn played?
- Hercules vs Purmersteijn is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.