Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Rayo Majadahonda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Rayo Majadahonda starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hércules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?
- The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Rayo Majadahonda.
- Where and when is Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda played?
- Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Rico Pérez, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.