Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Atlético Madrid II (1,948) and Alcorcon (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Madrid II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Atlético Madrid II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alcorcon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II 0-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Alcorcon 0-1 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Atlético Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alcorcon 2-3 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Madrid II sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (67 points from 38 matches) and Alcorcon sit 11th (51 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon played?
- Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.