Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Madrid II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Atlético Madrid II (1,948) and Alcorcon (1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Madrid II
4-3-3- 19Marc Domenech
- 10M. Llorente
- 11Ãlvaro Santos
- 20Edgar Alcañiz
- 16T. Helguera
- 15David García
- 22Arnau Solà
- 4A. Yaakobishvili
- 14R. Hueso
- 29M. Gil Rodriguez
- 13Ander Astralaga
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 4Álvaro Mayorga
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Madrid II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 4-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Atlético Madrid II wins, 1 draw, 0 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II 0-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Alcorcon 0-1 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Atlético Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alcorcon 2-3 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Madrid II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Madrid II sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (9 points from 8 matches) and Alcorcon sit 6th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon played?
- Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.