Match

Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera: prediction and stats

Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Los Milagros, Chitre

HerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera

The Footlab AI model makes Independiente de La Chorrera the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Herrera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Independiente de La Chorrera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?

Independiente de La Chorrera starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,566 vs 1,353).

27%27%46%
Herrera winDrawIndependiente de La Chorrera win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Herrera

4-3-3
  1. 10J. Cox
  2. 17J. Betegón
  3. 15A. F. Buelvas
  1. 7R. Villarreal
  2. 14L. Triana
  3. 18D. Castillo
  1. 22E. Gómez
  2. 27J. Rivera
  3. 3J. Rivas
  4. 4M. Moreno
  1. 30S. Román

Independiente de La Chorrera

4-3-3
  1. 43V. Gomez
  2. 24J. Obando
  3. 20A. McKenzie
  1. 18E. Girón
  2. 15J. Giron
  3. 28M. Ruíz
  1. 13G. Negrete
  2. 52A. Cifuentes
  3. 27A. Morales
  4. 4D. Fori
  1. 1A. Rodríguez

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herrera have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Independiente de La Chorrera have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Herrera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Union Cocle(away)3-2Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Oct 4, 2026Alianza FC(home)1-0Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Sep 26, 2026CD Arabe Unido(away)1-2Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Sep 20, 2026Tauro FC(home)0-6Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Sep 13, 2026UMECIT(home)1-3Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Independiente de La Chorrera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Deportivo Universitario(away)1-0Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Oct 17, 2026Veraguas(home)3-1Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Oct 4, 2026CD Arabe Unido(home)1-1Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Sep 29, 2026Alianza FC(away)0-2Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Sep 20, 2026Sporting San Miguelito(home)4-3Liga Panameña de Fútbol

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Herrera wins, 2 draws, 4 Independiente de La Chorrera wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Independiente de La Chorrera 0-0 HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol
Apr 21, 2026Independiente de La Chorrera 2-2 HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol
Jan 17, 2026Herrera 0-4 Independiente de La ChorreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol
Oct 18, 2025Herrera 0-2 Independiente de La ChorreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol
Jul 26, 2025Independiente de La Chorrera 3-0 HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol
May 3, 2025Independiente de La Chorrera 3-2 HerreraLiga Panameña de Fútbol

Last archived meeting: Independiente de La Chorrera vs Herrera on Aug 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Herrera score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente de La Chorrera score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Herrera1.02.339/1511/15
Independiente de La Chorrera1.41.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Herrera sit 11th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (11 points from 12 matches) and Independiente de La Chorrera sit 7th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Independiente de La Chorrera13454191817
11Herrera12327122611

A question about Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente de La Chorrera the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Herrera.
Where and when is Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera played?
Herrera vs Independiente de La Chorrera is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Los Milagros, in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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