Herrestads vs Kumla: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Undavallen Konstgräs, Uddevalla
The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Kumla. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Herrestads vs Kumla?
Herrestads starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,375).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herrestads have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kumla have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tord(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Husqvarna(home) | 2-6 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tord(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Herrestads win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kumla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Kumla 1-2 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Herrestads 5-0 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kumla 0-3 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Kumla 0-4 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Herrestads 2-1 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Herrestads 1-1 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Herrestads score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kumla score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herrestads | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Kumla | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Herrestads sit 8th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and Kumla sit 7th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Herrestads | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | Kumla | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Herrestads | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
| 9 | Kumla | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Herrestads vs Kumla?
- The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Kumla.
- Where and when is Herrestads vs Kumla played?
- Herrestads vs Kumla is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Undavallen Konstgräs, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.