IF Karlstad II vs Stenungsund: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for IF Karlstad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Stenungsund?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate IF Karlstad II (1,337) and Stenungsund (1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad II have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Stenungsund have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Motala(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lidköping(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Skara(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 IF Karlstad II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stenungsund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Stenungsund 2-0 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Stenungsund 2-3 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 5, 2021 | IF Karlstad II 3-2 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 17, 2020 | IF Karlstad II 0-4 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Stenungsund vs IF Karlstad II on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad II score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stenungsund score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Stenungsund | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad II sit 11th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (10 points from 12 matches) and Stenungsund sit 6th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stenungsund | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
| 11 | IF Karlstad II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad II vs Stenungsund?
- The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for IF Karlstad II.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad II vs Stenungsund played?
- IF Karlstad II vs Stenungsund is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.