Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Reuter-Sportfeld, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha Zehlendorf the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Hertha Zehlendorf (1,677) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha Zehlendorf have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anker Wismar(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hertha Zehlendorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 Hertha Zehlendorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Hertha Zehlendorf 2-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha Zehlendorf score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha Zehlendorf | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha Zehlendorf sit 6th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha Zehlendorf the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Reuter-Sportfeld, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.