Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?

Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Auestadion, Kassel

Hessen Kassel

SSV Ulm 1846

The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846?

Hessen Kassel starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,775).

Hessen Kassel win58 %

Draw21 %

SSV Ulm 1846 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hessen Kassel have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; SSV Ulm 1846 have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hessen Kassel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Freiburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	FC Schalke 04(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	SV Rodinghausen(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	Lippstadt 08(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

SSV Ulm 1846
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 7, 2026	Stuttgarter Kickers(away)	2-4	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Stuttgart II(home)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hessen Kassel win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Hessen Kassel 0-2 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 15, 2022	SSV Ulm 1846 3-0 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 5, 2022	Hessen Kassel 0-0 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 19, 2021	SSV Ulm 1846 2-1 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jun 5, 2021	Hessen Kassel 3-1 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Dec 19, 2020	SSV Ulm 1846 1-2 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hessen Kassel	1.7	2.1	3	8/15	11/15
SSV Ulm 1846	1.3	2.1	1	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hessen Kassel sit 12th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Hessen Kassel	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
17	SSV Ulm 1846	3	0	1	2	4	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846?: The Footlab model makes Hessen Kassel the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for SSV Ulm 1846.
Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?: Hessen Kassel vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.