Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach played?

SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV Freiberg

TSV Steinbach

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,031) and TSV Steinbach (1,968).

SGV Freiberg win48 %

Draw22 %

TSV Steinbach win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	1-6	Friendlies Clubs

TSV Steinbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	VfR Aalen(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	SV Sandhausen(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(home)	2-8	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 TSV Steinbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg 1-3 TSV Steinbach	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 11, 2025	TSV Steinbach 1-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 30, 2024	SGV Freiberg 4-0 TSV Steinbach	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 3, 2024	TSV Steinbach 0-2 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
May 4, 2024	SGV Freiberg 1-1 TSV Steinbach	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 28, 2023	TSV Steinbach 0-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg	1.7	2.1	4	9/15	13/15
TSV Steinbach	2.5	1.9	4	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SGV Freiberg	3	2	1	0	8	0	7
9	TSV Steinbach	3	0	3	0	3	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach?: The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for TSV Steinbach.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach played?: SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.