Match

Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Auestadion, Kassel

Hessen KasselVfR Aalen

The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Hessen Kassel (1,946) and VfR Aalen (1,969).

Hessen Kassel win37 %
Draw24 %
VfR Aalen win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hessen Kassel have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hessen Kassel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Freiburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Lippstadt 08(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
VfR Aalen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026Freiburg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hessen Kassel win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 VfR Aalen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 9, 2023Hessen Kassel 3-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 26, 2023VfR Aalen 1-1 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 21, 2023Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 2, 2022VfR Aalen 3-0 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
May 7, 2022VfR Aalen 0-0 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 13, 2021Hessen Kassel 1-2 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen on Dec 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hessen Kassel1.72.138/1511/15
VfR Aalen2.21.068/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hessen Kassel sit 12th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hessen Kassel2101453
15VfR Aalen3021252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen?
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel.
Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen played?
Hessen Kassel vs VfR Aalen is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hessen Kassel and VfR Aalen

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