Match

FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05 IIEintracht Trier

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and Eintracht Trier (1,888).

FSV Mainz 05 II win41 %
Draw26 %
Eintracht Trier win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Eintracht Trier have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)1-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026Kreuzlingen(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Trier
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026RB Leipzig(home)0-6DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)0-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Ahrweiler(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Trier win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Eintracht Trier 0-5 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 30, 2025FSV Mainz 05 II 3-2 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest
May 4, 2025Eintracht Trier 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest
Nov 3, 2024FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest
Feb 4, 2024FSV Mainz 05 II 2-0 Eintracht TrierFriendlies Clubs
Mar 11, 2023FSV Mainz 05 II 2-0 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Trier vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 05 II1.41.449/1510/15
Eintracht Trier1.31.556/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and Eintracht Trier sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Eintracht Trier2101223
13FSV Mainz 05 II3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Eintracht Trier.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier played?
FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FSV Mainz 05 II and Eintracht Trier

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