SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FSV Frankfurt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,029) and FSV Frankfurt (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FSV Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FSV Frankfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 3-1 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2025 | FSV Frankfurt 1-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 1-1 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 17, 2024 | FSV Frankfurt 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 0-0 FSV Frankfurt | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 2, 2023 | FSV Frankfurt 2-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Frankfurt score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| FSV Frankfurt | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and FSV Frankfurt sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for FSV Frankfurt.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt played?
- SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027FSV Mainz 05 IIvsEintracht Trier
- May 8, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- May 8, 2027TSV SteinbachvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- May 8, 2027Freiburg IIvsKickers Offenbach
- May 8, 2027Hessen KasselvsVfR Aalen
- May 8, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsKaiserslautern II
- May 8, 2027VfR MannheimvsSSV Ulm 1846
- May 8, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsSV Sandhausen