Heybridge Swifts vs Herne Bay: result 6-3 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 18, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)First Call Community Stadium, Maldon, Essex
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What was the result of Heybridge Swifts vs Herne Bay?
Heybridge Swifts won 6-3 on October 18, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heybridge Swifts have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Herne Bay have 2, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | FC Romania(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Boreham Wood(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Canvey Island(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Uxbridge(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 0-6 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Grays Athletic(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2013 | Merstham(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Merstham(home) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Heybridge Swifts score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Herne Bay score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heybridge Swifts | 2.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Herne Bay | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy