Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley: result 1-0 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 18, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
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What was the result of Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley?
Burgess Hill Town won 1-0 on October 18, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aveley have 7, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Sutton Utd(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Fleet Town(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Croydon(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Eastbourne Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2013 | Wroxham(away) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Willand Rovers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Thurrock(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Tilbury(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Basildon United(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Hythe Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/14 | 8/14 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy