Match

Thurrock vs Tilbury: result 4-3 and analysis

FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 17, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Thurrock Hotel, Thurrock, Essex

Thurrock
4-3
Tilbury

Full time

What was the result of Thurrock vs Tilbury?

Thurrock won 4-3 on October 17, 2014.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thurrock have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tilbury have 5, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thurrock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 28, 2014Aveley(home)0-2FA Cup
Sep 13, 2014Welwyn Garden City(home)2-0FA Cup
Aug 30, 2014Cheshunt(away)1-0FA Cup
Oct 19, 2013Bognor Regis Town(away)1-2FA Trophy
Oct 5, 2013Corinthian-Casuals(home)2-0FA Trophy
Tilbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2014Aveley(home)0-4FA Cup
Sep 2, 2014Codicote(home)2-0FA Cup
Aug 30, 2014Codicote(away)1-1FA Cup
Oct 19, 2013Hythe Town(away)1-3FA Trophy
Oct 5, 2013Needham Market(home)3-0FA Trophy

How many goals should we expect?

Thurrock score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tilbury score 1.5 and concede 1.8.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Thurrock1.51.157/156/15
Tilbury1.51.837/139/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Thurrock vs Tilbury?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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