Hinna vs Madla: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wintershallbanen Kunstgress, Stavanger
The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Hinna. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hinna vs Madla?
Madla starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,534).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hinna have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Madla have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Odd II(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Varhaug(away) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Viking II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Våg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Hinna win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Madla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Madla 3-0 Hinna | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Hinna 0-0 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Madla 3-2 Hinna | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Madla 2-0 Hinna | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hinna score 1.9 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Madla score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinna | 1.9 | 3.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Madla | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hinna sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 4 (16 points from 16 matches) and Madla sit 1st (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 13 | Hinna | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 49 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hinna vs Madla?
- The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Hinna.
- Where and when is Hinna vs Madla played?
- Hinna vs Madla is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wintershallbanen Kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.