Match

Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire

Hitchin TownAlvechurch

The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,795) and Alvechurch (1,805).

Hitchin Town win41 %
Draw26 %
Alvechurch win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Alvechurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Needham Market(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Worcester City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hitchin Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Alvechurch win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2025Alvechurch 4-1 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Sep 7, 2024Hitchin Town 0-1 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Jan 20, 2024Alvechurch 2-1 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 5, 2023Hitchin Town 2-0 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 15, 2023Alvechurch 1-3 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 12, 2022Hitchin Town 2-1 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town on Apr 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15
Alvechurch1.40.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alvechurch3201526
18Hitchin Town3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch?
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alvechurch.
Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch played?
Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hitchin Town and Alvechurch

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