Leiston vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Leamington?
Leiston starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leiston win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Leiston 1-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Leamington 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Leamington on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Leamington played?
- Leiston vs Leamington is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Hitchin TownvsAlvechurch
- Feb 6, 2027StamfordvsRedditch United
- Feb 6, 2027StourbridgevsBishop's Stortford
- Feb 6, 2027Banbury UnitedvsNeedham Market
- Feb 6, 2027Peterborough SportsvsHalesowen Town
- Feb 6, 2027Rushall OlympicvsBury Town
- Feb 6, 2027Stratford TownvsLeighton Town
- Feb 6, 2027Kettering TownvsReal Bedford