Hitchin Town vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hitchin Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Leiston 2-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Hitchin Town 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Leiston 1-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-4 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Leiston 0-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Hitchin Town 0-3 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Hitchin Town on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Leiston played?
- Hitchin Town vs Leiston is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027StourbridgevsWorcester City
- Jan 9, 2027AlvechurchvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 9, 2027Banbury UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 9, 2027Needham MarketvsBury Town
- Jan 9, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeamington
- Jan 9, 2027Rushall OlympicvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 9, 2027Stratford TownvsStamford
- Jan 9, 2027Kettering TownvsBromsgrove Sporting