Hitchin Town vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leiston wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,744) and Leiston (1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hitchin Town vs Leiston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hitchin Town
Not enough data to predict the Hitchin Town lineup.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Leiston have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Takeley(away) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hitchin Town wins, 2 draws, 4 Leiston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hitchin Town 1-2 Leiston | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Leiston 2-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Hitchin Town 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Leiston 1-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-4 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Leiston 0-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Leiston on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Leiston | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (7 points from 12 matches) and Leiston sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
A question about Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Leiston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Leiston played?
- Hitchin Town vs Leiston is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027StourbridgevsWorcester City
- Jan 9, 2027AlvechurchvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 9, 2027Banbury UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 9, 2027Needham MarketvsBury Town
- Jan 9, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeamington
- Jan 9, 2027Rushall OlympicvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 9, 2027Stratford TownvsStamford
- Jan 9, 2027Kettering TownvsBromsgrove Sporting