Stourbridge vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Worcester City?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Worcester City (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Worcester City 3-2 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-2 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Stourbridge on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Worcester City played?
- Stourbridge vs Worcester City is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hitchin TownvsLeiston
- Jan 9, 2027AlvechurchvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 9, 2027Banbury UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 9, 2027Needham MarketvsBury Town
- Jan 9, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeamington
- Jan 9, 2027Rushall OlympicvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 9, 2027Stratford TownvsStamford
- Jan 9, 2027Kettering TownvsBromsgrove Sporting