Match

Stourbridge vs Worcester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands

StourbridgeWorcester City

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Worcester City?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Worcester City (1,801).

Stourbridge win30 %
Draw26 %
Worcester City win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Worcester City 3-2 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Sep 10, 2025Stourbridge 2-2 Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Stourbridge on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stourbridge2200416
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Worcester City?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Stourbridge vs Worcester City played?
Stourbridge vs Worcester City is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stourbridge and Worcester City

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