Match

Needham Market vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk

Needham MarketBury Town

The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Needham Market vs Bury Town?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Bury Town (1,848).

Needham Market win28 %
Draw26 %
Bury Town win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Needham Market win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bury Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Bury Town 1-1 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 22, 2025Needham Market 4-2 Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 26, 2022Needham Market 4-0 Bury TownFriendlies Clubs
Jul 27, 2021Bury Town 3-1 Needham MarketFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Needham Market on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
14Needham Market3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Bury Town?
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Needham Market vs Bury Town played?
Needham Market vs Bury Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Needham Market and Bury Town

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