Needham Market vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Bury Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Needham Market win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Needham Market 4-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Needham Market 4-0 Bury Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Bury Town 3-1 Needham Market | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Needham Market on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Bury Town played?
- Needham Market vs Bury Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hitchin TownvsLeiston
- Jan 9, 2027StourbridgevsWorcester City
- Jan 9, 2027AlvechurchvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 9, 2027Banbury UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 9, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeamington
- Jan 9, 2027Rushall OlympicvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 9, 2027Stratford TownvsStamford
- Jan 9, 2027Kettering TownvsBromsgrove Sporting