Needham Market vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralMatchday 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Needham Market wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,727) and Bury Town (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Needham Market vs Bury Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Needham Market
Not enough data to predict the Needham Market lineup.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bury Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Needham Market wins, 1 draw, 1 Bury Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bury Town 0-5 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Needham Market 4-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Needham Market 4-0 Bury Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Bury Town 3-1 Needham Market | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Needham Market on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (28 points from 16 matches) and Bury Town sit 3rd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 28 |
A question about Needham Market vs Bury Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Bury Town.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Bury Town played?
- Needham Market vs Bury Town is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027Hitchin TownvsLeiston
- Jan 9, 2027StourbridgevsWorcester City
- Jan 9, 2027AlvechurchvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 9, 2027Banbury UnitedvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 9, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeamington
- Jan 9, 2027Rushall OlympicvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 9, 2027Stratford TownvsStamford
- Jan 9, 2027Kettering TownvsBromsgrove Sporting