Hluk vs Holešov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hluk the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Holešov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hluk vs Holešov?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hluk (1,603) and Holešov (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Hluk have 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Holešov have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šternberk(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strání(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brumov(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baťov(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Prostejov B(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strání(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Hluk score 2.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 6; Holešov score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hluk | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 6/6 | 5/6 |
| Holešov | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hluk sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie E (1 points from 2 matches) and Holešov sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Holešov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Holešov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Hluk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Hluk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hluk vs Holešov?
- The Footlab model makes Hluk the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Holešov.
- Where and when is Hluk vs Holešov played?
- Hluk vs Holešov is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.