Holešov vs Kozlovice: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Holešov
The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Holešov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holešov vs Kozlovice?
Kozlovice starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holešov have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kozlovice have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baťov(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Prostejov B(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strání(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slavičín(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Strání(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bzenec(home) | 5-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Holešov win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kozlovice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Holešov 1-1 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kozlovice 4-2 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| May 17, 2025 | Holešov 0-0 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Kozlovice 6-2 Holešov | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Kozlovice 1-0 Holešov | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Holešov 0-2 Kozlovice | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Holešov score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kozlovice score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holešov | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kozlovice | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holešov sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie E (4 points from 2 matches) and Kozlovice sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kozlovice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Holešov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kozlovice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Holešov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holešov vs Kozlovice?
- The Footlab model makes Kozlovice the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Holešov.
- Where and when is Holešov vs Kozlovice played?
- Holešov vs Kozlovice is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.